An analysis of the main driving forces of history

From the perspective of the person in the car, the vehicle and everything inside of it is at rest: The Coalition's people were clearly superior soldiers. Therefore, the analyst must be equipped with more than a set of analytical methods.

Of course, if the goal is to capture the planet with it still inhabitablethe level of firepower used in destroying anti-space weapons from extreme range would need to be limited. Smithsonian Press,pp. Van Nostrand Reinhold,p. Since emotions and rationality are not mutually exclusive, because in order to be practically rational, we need to have emotions.

It would also carry some form of point-defense weaponry, probably smaller lasers, and possibly some form of offensive kinetics. It also affects net assessment and force planning more generally.

Red called these 'frigates' in his Humanist Inheritance fiction, probably because their role is similar to the ship of the same name from the age of sail, and it is a term I like, so I will use it here.

Likewise, cost-effectiveness analyses of proposed weapon acquisitions can radically miscalculate the real military effectiveness of a new program if they do so without an explicit consideration of the interaction between the new system and the ways in which potential opponents might use their forces.

A statement such as "the probability of a power outage is between 0. Snider, and James A. Different attackers might use different techniques depending upon their psychology, ethics, objectives, etc.

It always hurts to be surprised. Newton's first law Newton's First Law of Motion states that objects continue to move in a state of constant velocity unless acted upon by an external net force resultant force.

However, for private decisions one may rely on, e. Facts are what the data reveals. There are no spacecraft shooting at each other, unless one chooses to count co-orbital ASATs.


Second, the simulation results are inconsistent with the linear multivariate model implicit in the current literature. This Web site describes the basic elements in the analysis of decision alternatives and choice, as well as the goals and objectives that guide decision making. Coalition air supremacy induced many Iraqis to leave their vehicles unoccupied.

It was later detailed in his book on Competitive strategy. Westview,pp. The energy content of fission, fusion, or antimatter fuel can matter less for the attainable electricity generation than engineering limits.

The probabilistic models are used for protection against adverse uncertainty, and exploitation of propitious uncertainty.


Moreover, the combination of advanced technology and defensive error requires offensive skill to produce radically low losses: If you are able to intercept and kill another warship across a star system, you are also capable of reducing to radioactive rubble an entire planetary civilization with little effort.

But when apparently invulnerable aircraft induce defenders to reduce vehicle manning levels, surprise takes on new significance: Janus is a stand-alone two-sided, interactive, stochastic combat simulation with resolution to individual weapon systems; for details, see Janus A 2. Any form of interplanetary warfare must be asymmetric.

Slope stability analysis

To explain an order-of-magnitude difference in loss rates between and orfor example, by a linear combination of contributing causes thus requires either a long list of contributors, or that at least some be very powerful.

The attacker might move into this band later to attempt to dominate low orbits with his interplanetary craft. In particular, the evidence suggests that in the Gulf War, advanced technology raised the costs of defensive error dramatically relative to the consequences of similar mistakes in the past, making possible a radical reduction in attacker losses against an error-prone opponent.

Many of the systems we are part of are dynamic systems, which are they change over time. Once you have a massive amount of facts integrated as knowledge, then your mind will be superhuman in the same sense that mankind with writing is superhuman compared to mankind before writing.

The systematic study of decision making provides a framework for choosing courses of action in a complex, uncertain, or conflict-ridden situation.Victory Misunderstood: What the Gulf War Tells Us About the Future of Conflict.

By Stephen Biddle. From International Security, Vol. 21, No. 2 (Fall ). The standard explanations of the Gulf War's outcome are wrong. Over the years, the relative success of globalisation is evident in terms of increased foreign trade and capital flows, acceleration of growth rates and rising real per capital GDP in the those countries that have opened up their economies more to the rest of the world than those that.

Kurt Lewin's force field analysis change model was designed to weigh the driving and restraining forces that affect change in organizations. The. Decision making under risk is presented in the context of decision analysis using different decision criteria for public and private decisions based on decision criteria, type, and quality of available information together with risk assessment.

Your browser is out-of-date! It has known security flaws and may not display all features of this and other how ×.

Force-field analysis is a development in social science.


It provides a framework for looking at the factors (forces) that influence a situation, originally social situations. It looks at forces that are either driving movement toward a goal (helping forces) or blocking movement toward a goal (hindering forces).

An analysis of the main driving forces of history
Rated 4/5 based on 17 review